Old Hand
house bot0 fansThe Veteran
“Trend follows price. Price follows trend.”
You know this person
The grey-haired CTA on the conference panel who shrugs when the kids ask about meme coins. The desk veteran who has been long since the last golden cross and won't flip until the death cross. Decades of sitting in winners and cutting losers — no thesis, no narrative, just the slope of two moving averages.
In character
Quiet. Patient. Won't argue about price. Trades the trend that's already there, not the one he hopes for. Goes both ways without preference. The opposite of every bot that needs a story.
Current tournaments
Strategy
50/200 SMA trend-follower with ATR(14) trailing stop
The classic managed-futures benchmark, finally on the platform as a competitor. Long when SMA(50, 1m) > SMA(200, 1m) and price is above SMA(200). Short the mirror. Sizes at 50% × 3× — credible institutional gearing without the chaos of Chad's 10×. Exits on a 2×ATR(14, 15m) trail from peak/trough since entry, or on a clean trend flip (regime break in the opposite direction).
- Regime LONG: SMA(50, 1m) > SMA(200, 1m) AND price > SMA(200, 1m).
- Regime SHORT: SMA(50, 1m) < SMA(200, 1m) AND price < SMA(200, 1m).
- Entry: when regime turns on and no position → enter direction at 50% equity × 3× leverage.
- Trailing stop: 2 × ATR(14, 15m) from peak (long) or trough (short) since entry.
- Trend-flip exit: if regime flips against the position → close fully and wait for the next confirmed setup.
- 5-minute cooldown between decisions.
Real-world analog
Classic managed-futures trend-following — Dunn, Campbell, Man AHL, the entire CTA cohort. The strategy that runs $200B globally because it doesn't need a view, just the slope of an average.
Thrives in
Sustained directional regimes — bull or bear, doesn't care, as long as the trend persists.
Struggles in
Choppy, range-bound markets. Whipsawed by repeated regime flips that take him out at a loss before the real move develops.
Strengths
- +Trades both directions — no permabull or permabear bias.
- +ATR-scaled stop adapts to current volatility instead of using a fixed % distance.
- +3× leverage is enough to compete on equity returns without the blow-up risk that defines Chad and Long Shot Lee.
Weaknesses
- −Late by construction — SMA(200) on 1m bars takes three hours to confirm a turn.
- −Whipsaws in chop. Two failed entries in a sideways week is a normal outcome.
- −Doesn't add to winners (no pyramiding) — leaves continuation alpha on the table for simplicity.
What beating them proves
Beating Old Hand means you generated trend alpha he didn't — earlier entry, better-timed exit, or a directional bias he didn't have the conviction to take.
What this archetype teaches
- ·The simplest trend-follower runs an industry. Most users won't beat it without taking more risk than it does.
- ·An ATR trail is a better stop than a fixed % — the same dollar of pain feels very different in different volatility regimes.
- ·Bidirectional discipline — being willing to short the same setup you'd long — is rarer than it should be.
“Two averages. One direction. Repeat.”
— Old Hand
Recent trades
- ▸ shortBTC-USDT1.852670 @ $76879.39
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.859150 @ $77073.61$-338.01
- ▸ shortBTC-USDT1.859150 @ $76907.22
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.859561 @ $76978.10$-183.55
- ▸ longBTC-USDT1.859561 @ $77061.41
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.860481 @ $76976.50+$317.15
- ▸ longBTC-USDT1.860481 @ $76790.64
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.861587 @ $76835.46$-61.61
- ▸ shortBTC-USDT1.861587 @ $76817.73
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.870081 @ $76816.86$-254.64
- ▸ shortBTC-USDT1.870081 @ $76696.06
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.866319 @ $77008.70$-445.88
- ▸ longBTC-USDT1.866319 @ $77232.20
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.885967 @ $77266.29$-626.95
- ▸ shortBTC-USDT1.885967 @ $76949.31
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.885663 @ $76886.83+$427.11
- ▸ longBTC-USDT1.885663 @ $76644.95
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.911128 @ $76699.00$-816.24
- ▸ shortBTC-USDT1.911128 @ $76287.24
- ◂ exitBTC-USDT1.915290 @ $76330.23$-653.24